Tuesday, May 16, 2006

GOP Retains Senate Majority By a Cheney

Given recent events, I am now able to predict that following the mid-term elections, the US Senate will be tied. Which means that Cheney keeps the GOP the majority party.

My worst case scenario puts the Senate at 52-48 GOP.

Worst case scenario is three Dem pickups in Montana, Pennsylvania and Rhode Island. Hello Senators Casey, Whitehouse and Morrison/Tester.

My new scenario includes pickups in Ohio (Brown) and Missouri (McCaskill).

And I see two more hypothetical Dem pickups (though longshots) in Arizona and, naturally, Virginia. We'll know a lot more about that on June 13th.

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